Euro 2016: It is not the luck of the Draw

When I was pulling together the piece on level-stakes profit, something interesting came to light about the Draw selection in the 1×2 Match Odds market. In the 258 completed games in the Euro 2016 Qualifying campaign, there were 47 that finished with the scores level. If you had backed the Draw in each of those 258 games, then the meagre odds on offer would have resulted in a huge 56-unit level-stakes loss. Or put another way, if you had laid the draw on the Exchange market you would have had an outstanding winning campaign. Continue reading “Euro 2016: It is not the luck of the Draw”

Euro 2016: Countries that beat the market’s expectations

For the first insight post on we take a look at the Euro 2016 qualifying campaign and how the market priced the matches of the teams that ultimately qualified. ┬áThe below data visualisation looks at the 145 games (from 258 played – excluding the play-offs) that the qualifying teams for Euro 2016 won. ┬áThere are some interesting observations that we can take forward into our tournament betting. Continue reading “Euro 2016: Countries that beat the market’s expectations”