Euro 2016: Betting with Discipline

Er, right.  This was going to show a lovely data visualisation of the Euro 2016 fixtures, the referees and the discipline of the teams.  The aim being to highlight games where we could target the Under/Over Booking Points markets or the spreads. That was until I realised that UEFA are only naming the officials three days in advance of games…. never mind…
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Euro 2016: It is not the luck of the Draw

When I was pulling together the piece on level-stakes profit, something interesting came to light about the Draw selection in the 1×2 Match Odds market. In the 258 completed games in the Euro 2016 Qualifying campaign, there were 47 that finished with the scores level. If you had backed the Draw in each of those 258 games, then the meagre odds on offer would have resulted in a huge 56-unit level-stakes loss. Or put another way, if you had laid the draw on the Exchange market you would have had an outstanding winning campaign. Continue reading “Euro 2016: It is not the luck of the Draw”